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September 11, 2011

flying: Ubu the aviation analyst

After a whole lot of spinning the AF447 report, Ubu comes up with this brilliant conclusion:

Unfortunately, some U.S. carriers have bought Airbus 330, including Delta and Northwest Airlines -- and a lot of Asian companies, including Cathay Pacific and Thai Airways. So even if you avoid Air France, you're not guaranteed to avoid these unstable, fly-by-wire-and-computer airplanes.

There's only one small problem with this: consider what would've happened if it were a 747 that lost the airspeed indication and pilots made the same inputs. I can tell you: they would've also stalled it, but instead of riding an airplane that remained controllable, they would've spun in and reached the surface in many fragments. This is what happens if you stall an "iron" airplane with swept wings at altitude (the corner of the envelope in which an airliner cruises is called "coffin corner" for that reason).

Least you think I am exaggerating, things like that happened many times (although personally I only remember cases of Tu-154 spinning in from cruise, due to the way my interests were focused). The simple fact is that computerized airplanes save lives.

The failure of AF447 crew was not keeping the pitch even after the airspeed indication ceased, since the gyroscopic information remained. Sticking with it would've prevented the stall (although I'm not sure if it would've broken a well-developed stall). One problem, however, is that it's extremely hazardous to make abrubt nose-down inputs in an airliner. A test flight of An-148 went down because, just like on AF447, its airspeed indicator failed and the crew responded with nose-down inputs, which were often called in hindsight from AF447 crew. The airplane oversped and broke up in mid-air.

In my opinion, A-330 is a safer airplane and any of the Boeing's old iron, and Ubu just has no clue about the topic, at all. That said, pro made a certain pushback towards basics of flying (e.g. Rapp did, although, oddly enough I do not see either Mac or Karlene addressing it in my feedreader's cache). Note, however, that in case of AF447 we'd be talking about basic flying, but not visual flying, because outside references were not available (it was pitch black over the ocean, like when JFK Jr. died -- and he wasn't flying an "automated" airplane). What really should be done is an improvement in training curriculum that includes airspeed indicator failures in particular, and partial panel in general. Oh, and bring up the fully-computerized 787 online sooner. That will help to shut up the Airbus haters.

Posted by: Pete Zaitcev at 04:03 PM | Comments (2) | Add Comment
Post contains 428 words, total size 3 kb.

1 It seems to me that the pilots did not understand what was happening.  If they'd understood they were stalled, even they would have attempted to lower the angle of attack.

What surprises me is that the flight crew did not take a look at the ground speed readout.  I assume that this GPS-derived information would have been available.  It would have shown a relatively low number and helped confirm the actual problem.

They also lacked sufficient systems knowledge to understand how the stall warning system worked and why the warning might have gone away while the airplane remained in an aerodynamic stall.

This needn't have been a fatal accident.  The scenario had occurred several times in the past by Airbus crews and each of them had responded appropriately.  I forget where on the web I read that, but the article did note that other crews had encountered pitot tube blockage by ice crystals before.

Posted by: Ron at September 25, 2011 08:48 PM (o5pWn)

2 I quite agree, although I mentioned the An-148 case for a reason: flying by groundspeed can be bad. What puzzles me more than the speed is the disregard for the pitch information, which was reliable throughout the ordeal. If one keeps the pitch and power to a given setting, the airplane will fly to the expected speed. This is how one handles a landing without the airspeed (if your CFI puts a sock on the pitot tube for practice...).

Posted by: Pete Zaitcev at September 25, 2011 10:18 PM (9KseV)

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